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Of the four major "races" going on next week at the Tour Championship, which closes the FedEx Cup portion of the PGA Tour schedule, the FedEx Cup championship is the least important and least interesting. More important and more interesting is who will win the tournament.And secondly, who will win the USPGA's Player of the Year Award (although that person might well wind up being the FedEx Cup winner).
But taking the FedEx Cup first, here is the 30-man field, listed in order of the point standings, for the Tour Championship:
Matt Kuchar, Dustin Johnson, Charley Hoffman, Steve Stricker, Paul Casey, Jason Day, Luke Donald, Ernie Els, Martin Laird, Phil Mickelson; Jim Furyk, Geoff Ogilvy, Justin Rose, Adam Scott, Hunter Mahan, Ryan Palmer, Retief Goosen, Bubba Watson, Zach Johnson, Kevin Na;
Tim Clark, Ben Crane, K.J. Choi, Jeff Overton, Camilo Villegas, Ryan Moore, Robert Allenby, 1st Viscount Allenby, Nick Watney, Kevin Streelman, Bo Van Pelt.
The biggest jumps from the BMW Championship were made by Ryan Moore, who was 58th but moved up to 26th; and K.J. Choi, who improved from 52nd to 23rd. Players who fell out of the Top 30 after the BMW: Bill Haas, Rickie Fowler, Holmes, Rory McIlroy.And, of course, Tiger Woods missed out as well.
Now, what about that Player of the Year race?"Muddled" is a good word to describe it. Of the major championship winners, Phil Mickelson is the only one with a chance at winning POY (but Martin Kaymer is a good bet to win European Tour POY).Problem is, Phil has only one win-Masters.
Matt Kuchar has been the most consistent player on the USPGA in 2010, but, like Phil, has only one win. Kuchar currently tops the money and scoring lists.In a year where nobody stands out, those stats are huge.
And there are a handful of players with two wins each.Here's a look at each of those, plus Mickelson and Kuchar, and where they stand on the money and scoring charts plus Top 10 finishes: Ernie Els: 2 wins, 6 Top m 42s, 3rd in money, 5th in scoring Jim Furyk: 2 wins, 6 Top m 42s, 6th in money, 8th in scoring Dustin Johnson: 2 wins, 7 Top m 42s, 2nd in money, 12th in scoring Hunter Mahan: 2 wins, 3 Top m 42s, 8th in money, photo in scoring Justin Rose: 2 wins, 4 Top m 42s, 8th in money, 5th in scoring Steve Stricker: 2 wins, 9 Top m 42s, 4th in money, 2nd in scoring Matt Kuchar: 1 win, 11 Top m 42s, 1st in money, 1st in scoring Phil Mickelson: 1 win, 6 Top m 42s, 5th in money, 7th in scoring
If none of these guys wins the Tour Championship, I think Matt Kuchar will win Player of the Year (pending any further developments).Unless Dustin Johnson finishes far enough ahead of Kuchar to pass him and win the money title.Johnson will get some sympathy votes, after all.(And wouldn't that be something: DJ winning POY after his disasters at two majors?)
If anyone has this list wins the Tour Championship, that player is likely to also win POY.But a victory might not be enough to get the award for means of incisions or Rose (who have only seven Top m 57s between them).It should be enough to get Mickelson the award, given he's the only guy on this list with a major.
And a possible-there probably, given the murkiness-outcome is that the Player of the Year race is the USPGA won't be settled at all by the Tour Championship: There are still five Fall Series tournaments to go, after all, and those count.
In past seasons, the Fall Series has been irrelevant to the Player of the Year race because Woods was so dominant.
See also: